Fantasy Fights

Intelligent, unique MMA analysis

SILVA Predictions for UFC 139

Preliminary Fights on Facebook

  • 155 lbs: Danny Castillo (46.48) over Shamar Bailey (36.27)
  • 170 lbs: Seth Baczynski (38.83) over Matt Brown (32.53)
  • 135 lbs: Miguel Torres (63.36) over Nick Pace (23.61)
  • 155 lbs: Rafael dos Anjos (52.46) over Gleison Tibau (51.09)
  • 185 lbs: Chris Weidman (60.65) over Tom Lawlor (45.05)

Preliminary Fights on Spike TV

  • 135 lbs: Michael McDonald (63.62) over Alex Soto (31.70)
  • 205 lbs: Ryan Bader (64.07) over Jason Brilz (55.15)

Main Card Fights on PPV

  • 205 lbs: Kyle Kingsbury (70.63) over Stephan Bonnar (37.62)
  • 170 lbs: Rick Story (75.61) over Martin Kampmann (59.71)
  • 135 lbs: Brian Bowles (78.59) over Urijah Faber (47.21)
  • 185 lbs: Cung Le (62.70) over Wanderlei Silva (50.10)
  • 205 lbs: Mauricio “Shogun” Rua (77.07) over Dan Henderson (74.28)

 

Summary

This is probably as good as it gets for a pay-per-view card without a title fight. Rua vs. Henderson is a fight that’s been long anticipated by fight fans, and should be a very entertaining main event. There’s talent throughout the main card, great fighters like Ryan Bader and Michael McDonald on Spike TV, and then on top of that, you’re giving me Miguel Torres, Chris Weidman, and Rafael dos Anjos vs. Gleison Tibau on the Facebook prelims? This is a fantastic fight card.

The big underdog pick of the card

Either the betting public is severely overrating Urijah Faber, or SILVA is really off the mark, because SILVA favors Brian Bowles to beat Faber by a 31-point margin, but Faber is about a 5-2 favorite to win on the betting lines. After looking at Faber’s recent fight history, and his stats on Fight Metric, I feel pretty good about the Bowles pick, but it’s not like I’ve been doing wonderful on my underdog picks. The other underdog pick of the card is Rafael dos Anjos, who is a slight underdog to Gleison Tibau.

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