Fantasy Fights

Intelligent, unique MMA analysis

SILVA Predictions for Bellator 61

This event will feature the first round of Bellator’s middleweight tournament, and there are definitely some interesting names participating. Here’s what SILVA thinks about the fights:

Main Card Fights – Middleweight Tournament First Round

  • 185 lbs: Vyacheslav Vasilevsky (68.02) over Victor O’Donnell (42.67)
  • 185 lbs: Bruno Santos (63.19) over Giva Santana (62.97)
  • 185 lbs: Vitor Vianna (65.76) over Brian Rogers (49.41)
  • 185 lbs: Norman Paraisy (51.60) over Maiquel Falcao (40.89)

The main event of this show was supposed to be the heavyweight tournament final from last year between Eric Prindle and Thiago Santos, but that fight has been postponed to next week.

Maiquel Falcao may be the most recognizable name to UFC fans here, as his lone UFC fight was a win over Gerald Harris at UFC 123 in November 2010. It was a bizarre fight. Both men were very hesitant to engage, particularly Harris, whose attacks were seldom throughout the fight despite clearly losing. At the end of the first round, controversy took place when Falcao had Harris in a rear-naked choke, but the round apparently ended after four minutes and 53 seconds, not the mandated five minutes.

Regardless, Falcao won that fight, so you may be surprised to see him as the lowest-rated fighter in this field according to SILVA. His opponent will be Norman Paraisy, who you may know from an appearance on the 11th season of The Ultimate Fighter. Paraisy was mocked for talking a lot about proving that French fighters are tougher than their reputation suggests, then quitting on the stool after a rough first round against James Hammortree. Despite that loss, Paraisy has built a professional record of 10-1-1.

The other intriguing fighter is Giva Santana, whose nickname is “The Arm Collector,” which is well-deserved, as Santana has won by armbar in 13 of his 18 fights. SILVA sees his fight against the undefeated Bruno Santos as a toss-up.

SILVA’s overall tournament favorite is none of the above names; it’s Vyacheslav Vasilevsky, a fighter I know nothing about, but he’s 15-1 with a number of quality opponents. I suspect SILVA may overrate European fighters like the Russian, but I don’t have nearly enough data to make any sort of conclusions about it.

Overall, this looks like a very interesting tournament, and I look forward to watching it.


One response to “SILVA Predictions for Bellator 61

  1. Howard morton March 19, 2012 at 9:45 am

    Falcao should be higher.

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