SILVA Predictions for Bellator 70
May 24, 2012
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Here they are:
The main event is a Bellator heavyweight championship fight between Cole Konrad and Eric Prindle. Prindle has made it to the championship fight as a result of a series of debacles in trying to get his fight with Thiago Santos done. First, Santos kicked Prindle in the groin (resulting in a no contest), then Prindle got sick and delayed the rematch, and finally Santos failed miserably to make weight, and an exasperated Bjorn Rebney finally declared Prindle the tournament winner.
Konrad is a high-level heavyweight prospect with great wrestling and a huge physique. It’s also not a physique that will conjure up thoughts of Adonis, but Konrad knows how to use his size to overwhelm his opponents. Prindle, his opponent this time, is honestly fairly bad everywhere but hits hard. Still, Konrad being listed as much as a -1800 favorite seems just a bit over the top; I was thinking he would be somewhere between -600 and -800. At the same time, it really is very hard to imagine Konrad losing this one.
Meanwhile, there are two tournament fights taking place. One is the lightweight tournament finals between Rick Hawn and Brent Weedman. Weedman is a very respectable lightweight and somebody who would have a moderate amount of success in the UFC, but Hawn is a truly elite lightweight, rated #6 in the world by SILVA. I expect Hawn to win and eventually give Michael Chandler a hell of a Bellator championship match.
The bantamweight semifinal will be contested between Hiroshi Nakamura and Luis Nogueira. Both fighters had solid victories in their previous fight, with Nakamura beating Rodrigo Lima and Nogueira beating Alexis Vila. I see Nogueira as a fighter who is quietly a very good bantamweight fighter, and I like him to advance to the tournament finals to take on Marcos Galvao.
Rounding out the main card is a lightweight fight between Derek Campos and Rich Clementi. Yes, that Rich Clementi, the one who peaked as a fighter from 2004 to 2008. Clementi is well past the point of being a UFC-quality fighter and is 3-5 in his last eight fights, resulting in his current SILVA score of a dismal 11.45. Campos is an underdog to Clementi, but I wonder if that’s based on the name value of Clementi more than anything.