Fantasy Fights

Intelligent, unique MMA analysis

SILVA Scores Update – UFC 150

I just wanted to let everybody know that the lists of SILVA scores have been updated, and all scores that have been processed in version 2.1 can be found here.

Working on these scores constantly is a grind, especially when it’s very hard to match subjective (scouting) analysis with the numbers alone. For what it’s worth, SILVA 2.1 is 21-13 predicting MMA fights since I’ve implemented it. The betting public, by comparison, is 24-10. I consider the betting lines to be the gold standard in terms of predicting fights… if SILVA is ever close to matching them, especially given the limitations I’ve placed on it to keep it objective, I’ll consider it a major accomplishment.

As soon as I get thorough lists of current SILVA scores, I’ll go back and see how it would have done predicting past fights, and comparing those numbers to the betting lines as well.

Coming up this week, I’ll have some coverage of Saturday’s Strikeforce event featuring Ronda Rousey vs. Sarah Kaufman, and I’ll get some more SILVA scores done as well. More SILVA scores. MOAR SILVA SCORES. Eventually, I’ll get to where this blog is about more than just SILVA scores. Hopefully. Maybe.

 

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3 responses to “SILVA Scores Update – UFC 150

  1. Howard morton August 13, 2012 at 8:52 am

    We both agreed a while back that Justin Lawrence was not UFC ready. Getting Ko’d is bad, especially if you consider yourself a striker. He needs more time on the regional scence to mature. Maybe 5-7 fights more fights and then he might be ready for the UFC.

    Melvin Guillard is a gatekeeper. The MMA
    community needs to stop talking about him as
    future champ.
    Okami versus Jake Shields should happen soon. Mqybe in November.

    a future champ.

    • David Williams August 13, 2012 at 1:36 pm

      And I still agree. I give a lot of credit to Holloway, who I think is a great prospect: 2-1 in the UFC despite less than two years of pro experience. Granted, the wins were against Pat Schilling and Justin Lawrence, but it’s still a great sign for Holloway’s future.

      But yeah, I don’t see Lawrence as a great prospect himself. He could become a solid fighter in a couple years, but he should not be fading in the second round as a striker at 145 pounds.

      • Howard morton August 13, 2012 at 6:33 pm

        Halloway is a good prospect, not great. I can’t get over the fact that Poirier took him down and tapped him so easy. His ground game is a liability and just because he stopped the takedowns of Schilling and Lawrence does not neccessarily mean he has improved his grappling. I just don’t see him being a champion, but he will have a good career in the UFC if he is matched with strikers.

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