Fantasy Fights

Intelligent, unique MMA analysis

UFC Fight Night 26 Predictions Summary

I’m entering this event ranked #23 on the Sherdog pick’em game. Let’s try not to screw it up this time:

ufc fight night 26 predictions

Some quick notes to wrap up a furious day of writing:

-I’m not as confident in a Chael Sonnen victory as FPR is. “Shogun” is an excellent finisher and will get chances to put Sonnen away. With that said I do have to consider Sonnen the favorite in the main event.

-FPR literally has John Howard as a 50.1% favorite to beat Uriah Hall. I’m picking Hall because Howard is fighting up a weight class on short notice. Either way Hall shouldn’t be anywhere close to the 4-1 favorite he’s listed as.

-FPR doesn’t have a long enough track record of success to use it for betting yet… but for posterity, FPR sees value in the following: Chael Sonnen -105, Iuri Alcantara +220, John Howard +355, Joe Lauzon -230 (barely), Mike Pyle +140, Mike Brown -190, Daniel Pineda +240, Manny Gamburyan -120, and Ramsey Nijem -170. Is there really value in nine different fighters on one card? Probably not.

As always, enjoy the (free) fights!


One response to “UFC Fight Night 26 Predictions Summary

  1. Howard Morton August 17, 2013 at 3:40 am

    I bet Rua and Alcantara straight. I parlayed McDonald\Lauzon and Overeem\McGregor. All plus money except Rua -110.

    I question Sonnen’s motivation. MMA is a lot about heart and toughness and Rua has a lot more of it than Sonnen. Rua by late stoppage.

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