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Thanks to what I am now referring to as the “Chael Sonnen debacle” I have changed the FPR formula. Think of this as FPR 2.0.
Generally speaking, the changes made have increased the FPR of fighters who are great finishers and decreased the FPR of fighters who go to decision often. Chael Sonnen in particular is 2-8 in fights that do not go the distance, among fights that have been scored by Fight Metric. Sonnen’s days of being rated as the second-best light-heavyweight fighter in the world are over.
I am also changing the formula that yields each fighter’s percentage chance of victory to be more conservative. There aren’t going to be nearly as many 85%+ favorites to win from this point forward.
FPR ratings for every fighter can be found via the links on the sidebar.