Fantasy Fights

Intelligent, unique MMA analysis

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Mousasi Degenerate Gambling Play Added

Just a quick note that I’ve added Rodrigo Damm +450 ($3.00 to win $13.50) to my degenerate gambling plays this week. Al Iaquinta is now -600 to win, which is just lunacy in my opinion. Apparently nobody was watching when Iaquinta lost to Michael Chiesa and Mitch Clarke. They also must not have been watching when Kevin Lee came extremely close to submitting Iaquinta as well.

It seems like every time I think a betting line can’t possibly go any higher, it does. I thought -350 was already a very high price for Benson Henderson against Rafael Dos Anjos a couple weeks ago, but he made it all the way to -510. I’m sitting here thinking there’s no way Iaquinta goes above -600, but I’ve been wrong about this so many times… so expect to see Iaquinta at -1000 before too long.

And as usual: I don’t recommend you follow my gambling picks as I am not a betting professional. Any plays you make are done at your own risk.


10 responses to “UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Mousasi Degenerate Gambling Play Added

  1. Howard Morton September 5, 2014 at 8:48 am

    Here we go:
    3 units Mousasi +235
    3 units Freire -105
    3 units Iaquinta/Beal/Overeem -138
    2 units Lavar Johnson+190
    2 units Chiesa/Lewis +186
    Good luck everyone!!!!

  2. Gee September 5, 2014 at 1:51 pm

    foxwoods casino …smaller venue so smaller cage !!….not full size cage usually used by UFC for heavyweights

    according to “the MMA REPORT podcast…!”

    ROTHWELL – what a poor mma record he has.
    Roth ….ON TRT… lost to worse fighters than reem.

    MITT – aside from brute force, he has fought better guys…

  3. Howard Morton September 5, 2014 at 3:31 pm

    Scratch thosr bets, some lines changed on me:
    Here are new bets, please disregard previous post

    3 units Mousasi +200
    3 units Pitbull/ king mo +109
    4 units Iaquinta/Beal/Overeem -133
    2 units Chiesa/Lewis +155
    3 units Soriano +165

    Good luck. Last minute change due to line moves.

  4. Howard Morton September 6, 2014 at 7:59 am

    -9 units. Got to take the good with the bad. I should have gone big on Pitbull.

  5. szady September 8, 2014 at 1:28 pm

    Great calls on Lauzon and Mitrione, David! I’m curious about your thoughts on Arlovski;s fight, bacause i think he has decent chances to win.

    • David Williams September 8, 2014 at 10:18 pm

      Thanks szady! I’m still thinking about the upcoming Arlovski-Bigfoot fight. Bigfoot should absolutely be the favorite, but at -400 he’s really pushing the boundaries of how big a favorite he should be.

  6. gambler September 9, 2014 at 6:12 pm

    bigfoot is at home with the better chin, stand-up, ground game and proven five round cardio.

    that sounds like a -400.

    im hope for a good first round from aa and then live bet silva in the second

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