Fantasy Fights

Intelligent, unique MMA analysis

UFC Fight Night Adelaide: Degenerate Gambler’s Corner

I got sick last night, so no commentary this time, just the stats.

2015 PICKS

Last event: 8-4 (66.7%)

Year to date: 94-51 (64.8%)

UFC FIGHT NIGHT ADELAIDE – STATISTICAL MODEL ESTIMATES

Favorite % Underdog %
 Stipe Miocic 56.9% Mark Hunt 43.1%
 Brad Tavares 55.7% Robert Whittaker 44.3%
 Sean O’Connell 62.5% Anthony Perosh 37.5%
 Jake Matthews 68.0% James Vick 32.0%
 Hatsu Hioki 60.1% Daniel Hooker 39.9%
 Kyle Noke 51.4% Jonavin Webb 48.6%
 Sam Alvey 67.5% Daniel Kelly 32.5%
 Bec Rawlings 57.2% Lisa Ellis 42.8%
 Brad Scott 53.3% Dylan Andrews 46.7%
 Kailin Curran 62.1% Alex Chambers 37.9%
 Brendan O’Reilly 60.7% Vik Grujic 39.3%
 Ben Nguyen 58.0% Alp Ozkilic 42.0%

DEGENERATE GAMBLER’S CORNER

Last event: -$21.34

Current bankroll: $205.12

Starting bankroll: $100.00

Total investment: $378.16

Total profit: $105.12

Return on investment: 27.8%

For this event I have…

Sean O’Connell +130: $11.47 to win $14.91

Ben Nguyen +170: $11.28 to win $19.18

Brendan O’Reilly +110: $7.52 to win $8.27

Daniel Hooker +260: $4.56 to win $11.86

Mark Hunt +200: $3.88 to win $7.76

Jake Matthews -170: $3.56 to win $2.09

Daniel Kelly +355: $3.53 to win $12.53

Lisa Ellis +165: $2.00 to win $3.30

Alex Chambers +190: $1.25 to win $2.38

Brad Scott -105: $1.01 to win $0.96

MANDATORY DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a betting professional and I do NOT recommend you follow my bets. Any bets you make are done at your own risk.

Best of luck and enjoy the fights!

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2 responses to “UFC Fight Night Adelaide: Degenerate Gambler’s Corner

  1. Nick May 9, 2015 at 5:09 pm

    The model was right on Nguyen =)

  2. Mirko May 10, 2015 at 2:09 am

    Really nice, you got first four biggest bets right.

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