Fantasy Fights

Intelligent, unique MMA analysis

Contact Me

Have a comment or question about something I’ve written? Need something clarified about my stats or FPR? Want to tell me I’m full of crap?


Twitter: @dwilliamsmma


16 responses to “Contact Me

  1. rocky mattioli August 7, 2011 at 5:12 am

    you had a very nice card overall..i`m becoming a bit of an ebersole admirer…the guy seems to be one of those fighters that flourishes late in his career…he has a nice skillset…..

    i would just like to say that i appreciate the time you put into your analysis….a must read for me prior to every mma event that you cover…

    been reading you for a few months and it`s a breath of fresh air to read a well thought out break down of every fight on each card…perusing the main sites(mmajunkie/sherdog/mmaweekly/bloody elbow) isn`t my cup of tea because it seems that their boards and discussuions have been overtaken by pimply face fan boys from god knows where….

    please keep up the great work….i`ll certainly keep reading and will mention your site to some of the folks i regularly discuss mma with…

  2. msr March 1, 2014 at 8:28 am

    Exceptionel work. Grand wizardry

  3. Mirko April 28, 2014 at 6:39 pm

    Hey, what do you think about Brown being underdog 2.99 and Silva favorite 1.45? I though Brown will be heavy favorite and I really see Brown destroying Silva

    • David Williams April 28, 2014 at 10:46 pm

      My initial reaction is the same as yours. Brown has really established himself as a tough and punishing striker. Erick Silva is very talented and dangerous himself, but the price definitely seems off to me.

      The one thing that gives me pause is that most of Brown’s career losses are by submission and Silva is very slick on the ground as well. Still, should Silva really be that much of a favorite? I don’t think so but I’ll be sure to look into it further.

      • Mirko April 30, 2014 at 3:35 pm

        I did some research and the reason why Silva is favorite because he is slick with submission like you said and Brown had a 9 months layoff including time he couldn’t train because of his back injury. I still favor Brown a lot and I’m thinking off putting some money on him especially because Silva lost to Kim by Ko.

        Some people are confident that Silva will submit him and early betting on Silva rose Brown to 2.99, but now he is dropped to 2.8 and I think he will continue dropping but I might be wrong because I though Cerrone and Palacio will drop but on the fight night they rose for like 0.5 each. I’m just not sure should I put money now on Brown or wait til fight night, what do you think?

      • David Williams April 30, 2014 at 4:22 pm

        Trust me when I say I wish I could predict line movements. My guess is that a lot of people will bet on Erick Silva on fight night, but that’s just a guess. I could be completely wrong about that.

  4. msr June 2, 2014 at 3:26 pm

    Dear Mr. Williams, what are your thoughts on Sanchez vs. Pearson?

    • David Williams June 2, 2014 at 5:10 pm

      I’ll be doing a write-up of the fight later this week, but Sanchez-Pearson looks very much like the kind of fight that could end in a controversial split decision to me.

  5. obraz June 10, 2014 at 7:52 am

    Can’t wait for the prediction:), what are your thoughts on Rory Macdonald’s chances vs Tyron Woodley? It seems the betting public is on Woodley, Rory’s the underdog now. (1,67->2,25)

  6. David June 23, 2014 at 1:26 pm

    Great work, amazed by it in all honesty. Not only are most of your predictions right, I really enjoy reading them. Thank you!

  7. MikeO April 28, 2015 at 9:56 am

    Not sure if you answer questions like this about 2 weeks away from the event, but if so what do you think of the upcoming Jake Matthews vs. James Vick fight, and/or what does your statistical model say? As soon as the odds came up for that one I put money on Vick as I was shocked he was the underdog. Then I see someone said they did a $12 to win $5 bet on Matthews and am kinda confused by that but maybe im missing something in that fight.

    Also, the card after that Dhiego Lima vs. Li Jingliang, what does your model say about that one? I would have thought Jingliang would be the favorite for that one but he’s the underdog also and I’ll be putting something on him as well.

    Too bad Mark Eddiva vs. Alex White got cancelled because Eddiva at +200 seemed awesome to me because he has really impressed me so far and White has really been a letdown after his KO in his first ufc fight and I don’t think he’s gonna be the fighter most thought he’d be.

    love your blog, man!

    • David Williams April 28, 2015 at 4:21 pm

      I’m happy to answer your questions! The model has Matthews 68%, Vick 32% largely due to a big takedown advantage for Matthews.

      I’m getting conflicting information on Lima-Jingliang. Right now the UFC says Jingliang is fighting Roger Zapata. Sherdog says it’s Lima vs. Zapata. To answer your question, I again have it Lima 68%, Jingliang 32% due to a takedown advantage for Lima.

      Thanks for reading!

  8. MikeO April 28, 2015 at 6:51 pm

    yeah i saw that on sherdog also, apparently zapata was injured though from what i’ve heard.

    not encouraging to see those percentages, though i knew matthews would no doubt have the takedown advantage but i’m thinking vick will be able to keep it standing at least for the most part. There’s just a major difference in their strength of opponents imo with Matthews only two ufc fights coming against dashon johnson who padded his record to get into the ufc and vagner rocha who was cut once before and will most likely be cut again soon.

    I really think Vick has a ton of potential being 6’3″ as a lightweight and still appearing strong unlike a george roop. Matthews has potential too but only 20 years old i dont think its his time yet. we’ll see what happens.

    and I dont remember a lot about Jingliang’s fights, but I’m just really not a fan of Lima at all. i’ll probably rewatch jingliang vs taleb because taleb looked extremely dominant last event with his takedowns so i should probably see how he did against him. im guessing he killed his takedown defense percentage though he still only lost by split decision.

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