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Intelligent, unique MMA analysis
Preliminary Fights on Facebook and Foxsports.com – 4:45 ET/1:45 PT
UFC heavyweight championship on FOX – 9:00 ET/6:00 PT
If this was a pay-per-view event, it would be very mediocre, but as a completely free show, it’s outstanding. I can’t think of any fight that would be better to broadcast on Fox than the heavyweight championship fight between Cain Velasquez and Junior dos Santos. As for the prelims, Henderson-Guida is the only big fight, but I would also keep an eye on Mike Pierce and Ricardo Lamas, who I feel are very underrated fighters. Also watch out for “Kid” Yamamoto, who I think has gone from being overrated to underrated.
The big underdog pick of the card
Pablo Garza is about a 5-2 underdog against Dustin Poirier, but is SILVA’s pick to win the fight. I think the betting lines may be reflective of Poirier being overrated because of his UFC 125 win against Josh Grispi. Also note that Junior dos Santos, a 3-2 underdog, is the pick to win the main event on Fox. dos Santos opened at almost even odds against Cain Velasquez, but the lines have shifted towards Velasquez.